Adapting Machine Learning Weather Forecasting Architectures for Wind Power Prediction

10 Dec 2025, 11:25
25m
U-Residence (Vrije Universiteit Brussels (VUB))

U-Residence

Vrije Universiteit Brussels (VUB)

VUB Main Campus Etterbeek Pleinlaan 2 1050 Elsene

Speaker

Aaron Van Poecke (University of Antwerp)

Description

This study investigates the application of Encoder–Processor–Decoder architectures, which have been successfully employed in large machine learning–based weather forecasting models, for wind power prediction. Using the Anemoi framework from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), we evaluate graph-based neural networks over a domain covering Belgium and the Belgian Offshore Zone (BOZ) with a forecast horizon of up to 48 hours. These models are trained to forecast key meteorological variables, including wind speed, wind direction, and temperature, derived from the Copernicus Regional Reanalysis for Europe (CERRA). Wind power is treated as a diagnostic variable, and verification is performed using publicly available production data from the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E). We assess how both input feature selection and network architecture affect prediction accuracy.

Primary author

Aaron Van Poecke (University of Antwerp)

Co-authors

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