Current Status of Numerical Weather Prediction

8 Dec 2025, 10:45
25m
U-Residence (Vrije Universiteit Brussels (VUB))

U-Residence

Vrije Universiteit Brussels (VUB)

VUB Main Campus Etterbeek Pleinlaan 2 1050 Elsene

Speaker

Piet Termonia (Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium)

Description

Over more than half a century, Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) has achieved remarkable progress. This advancement results from the use of increasingly dense observational data types, progress in high-performance computing, and steady improvements in numerical modeling. This long-standing progress faces new challenges, with standard technologies approaching their physical limits, and models reaching resolutions where global high-resolution datasets are lacking.

To address these challenges a threefold strategy is being pursued. Limited-area models are being used to further increase resolution toward the hectometric scale. Existing models are being refactored to enhance their flexibility and efficiency on emerging computing architectures. Machine learning techniques are being integrated with traditional numerical approaches to develop Machine-Learning NWP.

This talk will explore these three directions, highlighting their implementation within major international initiatives.

Primary author

Piet Termonia (Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium)

Presentation materials

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