17–18 Mar 2026
Musées Royaux des Beaux-Arts de Belgique
Europe/Brussels timezone

Towards Climate-Neutral Urban Heating: A model-based comparative study for Local Energy Systems decarbonization

18 Mar 2026, 16:30
15m
Oral presentation Just transition to a low carbon building sector Just transition to a low carbon building sector

Speaker

Julio Vaillant Rebollar (Van Marcke NV, Ghent University)

Description

This study assesses heating system decarbonization options for a residential neighborhood in Ghent, offering relevant insights for Belgian and European climate targets. The area comprises over seventy historically valuable housings from the 19th to 21st centuries -e.g., terraced houses from the 1850s, 1950s semi-detached homes, and 2021 apartment blocks- making it a representative case for urban retrofitting. Through scenario-based modeling of 76 combinations of heating technologies, building retrofits, and renewable integration, it identifies cost-effective strategies that balance comfort, carbon reduction, energy efficiency, and long-term investment. These scenarios include combinations of technologies such as condensing gas boilers, air-source and ground-source heat pumps, dry coolers, booster heat pumps, heat interface units, variations in system characteristics like supply temperatures (10–60°C), thermal emission systems (radiators or underfloor heating), and building envelope retrofits. Key performance indicators - including energy use, carbon emissions, comfort, and costs- are used to benchmark each configuration. A modified Environmental Levelized Cost of Heat (eLCOH) is proposed, expanding the traditional economic metrics with ecological data. The study finds that ground-source heat pumps in refurbished homes, combined with low-temperature heating supply and the integration of geothermal storage regeneration further enhances system performance and cost-efficiency. The methodology provides a replicable method and underlines the value of simulation and scenario analysis in achieving climate-neutral urban development. Hence, the findings serves as practical guidance for municipalities and urban planners by highlighting the trade-offs between comfort, investment, efficiency, and sustainability. It supports strategic decisions for local energy transitions, prioritizing low-carbon solutions in complex urban situations.

If your abstract is not accepted for an oral presentation, would you be interested in presenting it as a poster instead? Yes
If accepted by the Scientific Board, I agree to have my presentation/poster and abstract published on the Belgian Climate Centre websites and social media. Yes

Primary author

Julio Vaillant Rebollar (Van Marcke NV, Ghent University)

Co-authors

Prof. Arnold Janssens (Ghent University) Mr Tom Prinzie (Van Marcke NV)

Presentation materials