This seminar is part of the Climate Cookies & Coffee series of the Belgian Climate Centre. This is a new seminar series launched by the Belgian Climate Centre to foster knowledge-sharing, collaboration, and interdisciplinary discussion among climate researchers.
For the second edition, the Belgian Climate Centre will welcome Jozefien Schoofs (KU Leuven/RMI) who will talk on: 'Dynamic and thermodynamic contributions to future extreme-rainfall intensification: a case study for Belgium'.
Extreme precipitation is projected to become more frequent and more intense due to climate change and associated thermodynamical effects, but the local response of atmospheric circulation under future climate scenarios remains uncertain due mainly to dynamical differences. In this presentation, we introduce a methodology for assessing future extreme precipitation at the regional scale using the Lamb Weather Type classification. We also explore how climate change may influence the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events over Belgium under a high-emission scenario, and examine their relationship with evolving weather patterns.