Oct 27 – 31, 2025
Europe/Stockholm timezone

Assessing the Impact of ICMEs and HSSs on Global dBH/dt Spikes During Geomagnetic Storms

Oct 28, 2025, 11:21 AM
18m
Studion

Studion

Oral SWR4 - Interactions in the Earth’s Magnetosphere-Ionosphere-Thermosphere System and their Space Weather Impact SWR4 –Interactions in the Earth’s Magnetosphere-Ionosphere-Thermosphere System and their Space Weather Impact

Speaker

Jose Marchezi (National Institute for Space Research)

Description

Changes in solar wind flow, typically associated with interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) and high-speed streams (HSSs), directly impact the near-Earth space environment. These structures disturb the Earth’s magnetosphere and induce variability in the geomagnetic field. Rapid variations in the geomagnetic field, characterized by elevated values of dBH/dt, can lead to the generation of geomagnetically induced currents (GICs), which pose risks to technological systems, including power grids, pipelines, and railways. In this study, we investigate the correlation between the characteristics of different solar wind structures and ground-based magnetic field perturbations (dBH/dt), focusing on geomagnetic storms identified by Sym-H index values of ≤-50 nT from 1995 to 2024. 623 events were selected, comprising 308 ICME-driven and 315 HSS-driven storms. We examined the occurrence of dBH/dt spikes at latitudes between ±50° and ±90°, highlighting notable asymmetries in magnetic local time (MLT) distribution and spatial preferences depending on the solar wind driver. Additionally, we performed a solar cycle analysis of dBH/dt activity, revealing how the occurrence and intensity of magnetic field perturbations vary across different phases of the solar cycle. Our results also emphasize the relevance of mesoscale solar wind structures and periodic variations in solar wind velocity and IMF magnitude. This analysis supports the development of improved machine learning models by incorporating solar wind parameters to enhance ground-based dBH/dt forecasts.

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Primary author

Jose Marchezi (National Institute for Space Research)

Co-authors

Dr Amy Keesee (Department of Physics & Astronomy, University of New Hampshire) Dr Victor Pinto (Departamento de Fisica, Universidad de Santiago de Chile) Mr Michael Coughlan (Department of Physics & Astronomy, University of New Hampshire) Ligia Alves da Silva (National Institute for Space Research) Raman Mukudan (Department of Physics & Astronomy, University of New Hampshire) Livia Ribeiro Alves (National Institute for Space Research) Dr Hyunju Connor (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center) Dr Don Hampton (Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks)

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